Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 288.340045 326.569117 369.245348 420.652916 481.208948 550.653108 636.860333
2025-01-26 238.844050 290.839865 354.422681 438.907614 549.757699 692.439667 893.638943
2025-02-02 214.909334 274.824837 352.821435 463.919085 621.674977 843.375670 1189.303751
2025-02-09 190.521824 252.656431 337.432425 464.815172 657.325374 947.852289 1441.408828
2025-02-16 168.226048 229.531940 316.341728 452.513466 669.112712 1016.179484 1650.842161
2025-02-23 151.303856 211.564519 299.687314 443.254848 682.331981 1086.989172 1879.920082
2025-03-02 142.346578 203.967289 297.043805 454.652030 729.883866 1223.518350 2266.179769
2025-03-09 132.302123 193.506770 288.519044 454.815176 757.476344 1328.923923 2621.290210
2025-03-16 121.800040 181.230265 275.634912 445.580897 766.106380 1399.166710 2921.430285
2025-03-23 114.671698 173.603082 269.424522 446.964741 794.429539 1514.091366 3363.045418
2025-03-30 106.458259 163.463160 257.943513 437.230005 799.165838 1579.755311 3704.281988
2025-04-06 100.350032 156.294968 250.832773 434.657827 817.833989 1680.021529 4176.050562
2025-04-13 91.749821 144.426009 234.740651 413.615435 795.683671 1683.980281 4383.689824
2025-04-20 89.645829 143.569769 238.237885 431.502282 861.425495 1917.859133 5410.545749
2025-04-27 88.523422 144.295446 244.620295 455.989240 946.788945 2226.857690 6874.017725
2025-05-04 84.465578 139.424127 240.025311 456.866431 976.458077 2393.278600 7920.753388
2025-05-11 79.241251 132.048035 229.995831 444.823515 972.212838 2461.148893 8613.934183
2025-05-18 74.808589 125.837537 221.736767 435.758592 974.146904 2548.955558 9458.269778
2025-05-25 72.913602 124.234573 222.433448 446.917207 1031.200812 2828.296537 11430.945177
2025-06-01 70.019570 120.528190 218.571393 447.076927 1058.553343 3019.041229 13126.271150
2025-06-08 66.448963 115.292002 211.168552 438.036067 1058.578982 3115.388055 14383.884151
2025-06-15 64.112047 112.310092 208.214842 439.390985 1089.031395 3333.553881 16625.373337
2025-06-22 60.963127 107.541315 201.145217 429.859286 1085.540338 3422.423251 18111.914277